Civics

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How Government Backstops are Destabilising the Financial System

I have already explained the root cause of why we are in a financial crisis. I have explained why talking heads talking about this being a liquidity problem are speaking bunk. Now, I am going to explain why the current actions of governments around the world are making things far worse.
The last few weeks have [...]

6Nov2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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Liquidity, and the Game of Hot Potato

Please nip over at some point and have a look at my post about the root cause of the financial crisis. It will make this post make more sense.
I have already pointed out that the root of the problem is that many companies are functionally bankrupt because they are holding debt that has no value. [...]

3Nov2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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The Root of the Problem, Counterfeit Debt

In other posts, I have written long expositions of why we are in a financial crisis. I have decided to write several short posts on the subject as well.
The root of the problem is counterfeit money. I’m sure that’s a statement worthy of a double take for most people, but it is true.
In today’s world, [...]

26Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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The Moment of Truth Approaches

Please note: the case for why I believe the following is laid out thoroughly here , here , and then here .
Well, I think the financial crisis is about ready to really get started.
So far, every government response to the crisis has been to make it worse, along with taking on debt. Taking on debt [...]

22Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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An Object Lesson: How Not to Treat a Depression

It seems that some UCLA professors have figured out why the Great Depression lasted 15 years.
And the answer iiiiss: "F.D.R!"
I am quite scared for the short term future of the USA. I look at the potential presidents we could end up with, and I am faced with either ignorance or mal-education, or both. Let’s hope [...]

12Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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A Worrying Development

It seems that banks are now so afraid that their counterparts are insolvent, that they are not accepting letters of credit from other banks. This is a bit like a bank refusing to cash a check because the check draws on the account of another bank.
This is bad, because letters of credit are used as [...]

10Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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Credit Default Swaps: Another Part of the Puzzle

Something I have not spoken about, because I considered it tangential to the root cause of the current problems with the financial system , is the role of Credit Default Swaps. Although the real problem is that people essentially counterfeited money, credit default swaps were sometimes used as part of this process.
A credit default swap [...]

5Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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The Economy. Where we are, why we’re here, and the future. (PART 3)

Continued from Part 2
So whatever happens, we’re going to hurt a lot?
Yes. It’s going to hurt. A deflationary crash would be quick, and extreme. People who watch too many Hollywood movies think this means blood in the streets, but it really just means a lot of hard working people will be on the streets trying [...]

2Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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The Economy. Where we are, why we’re here, and the future. (PART 2)

Continued from Part 1
Please explain your three possible futures.
In a deflationary crash, a portion of the money within an economy disappears. This means that money becomes scarce. This means that what money there is becomes very valuable. Because the money looks valuable, everything else looks cheap. That is, prices tend to go down, and people [...]

2Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued
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The Economy. Where we are, why we’re here, and the future. (PART 1)

Where are we, why are we here, and what will happen? This post is my attempt to answers these questions as simply as I can. I have broken this post into three parts for ease of presentation.
This post will link to several other posts that will expand on a point. I will add links as [...]

2Oct2008 | Ray | Comments Off | Continued